SUPPLY CHAIN

Semiconductor Impact on Production

Published: January 2025

The automotive semiconductor market is projected to reach $120 billion by 2028, fundamentally reshaping supply chain dynamics globally. Strategic partnerships between original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and chip manufacturers are creating new business models and transforming how vehicles are designed and produced.

The Growing Semiconductor Demand in Vehicles

Modern vehicles contain hundreds of semiconductors, with premium vehicles incorporating over 3,000 individual chips. This represents a dramatic increase from the 50-100 chips found in vehicles from the early 2000s. The growth is driven by electrification, advanced driver assistance systems, infotainment systems, and connectivity features.

Electric vehicles require significantly more semiconductors than traditional internal combustion vehicles, with power management systems, battery management controllers, and motor control units all demanding specialized chips. The transition to electric powertrains is accelerating semiconductor demand at a rate that exceeds the industry's current production capacity.

Supply Chain Disruptions and Resilience

The automotive industry experienced severe semiconductor shortages beginning in 2020, resulting in production losses exceeding 11 million vehicles globally. These disruptions exposed vulnerabilities in the just-in-time manufacturing model and highlighted the critical importance of semiconductor supply chain resilience.

Critical Finding:

The shortage period forced automakers to prioritize high-margin vehicles, leading to a shift in production strategies. Many manufacturers are now developing direct relationships with semiconductor suppliers, moving away from traditional tiered supply chain models.

Strategic Partnerships and Vertical Integration

Major automakers are forming strategic partnerships with semiconductor manufacturers to secure supply and influence chip design. These partnerships range from long-term supply agreements to joint development programs focused on automotive-specific chip designs.

Some manufacturers are taking vertical integration further by investing in semiconductor manufacturing capabilities or acquiring chip design companies. This trend represents a fundamental shift in the automotive industry's approach to supply chain management and technology development.

Specialized Automotive Chips

Automotive applications require chips with specific characteristics: extended temperature ranges (-40°C to +125°C), high reliability standards, long product lifecycles, and functional safety certifications. These requirements differentiate automotive semiconductors from consumer electronics chips.

The development of specialized automotive chips requires significant investment in design, testing, and certification. Chip manufacturers are establishing dedicated automotive divisions to address these unique requirements and capture the growing market opportunity.

Market Projections and Growth Drivers

The automotive semiconductor market is projected to grow from $48 billion in 2023 to $120 billion by 2028, representing a compound annual growth rate of 20.1%. This growth is driven by increasing semiconductor content per vehicle, rising vehicle production volumes, and the transition to electric and autonomous vehicles.

Power semiconductors represent the fastest-growing segment, driven by electric vehicle adoption. These chips manage high-voltage power conversion, battery charging, and motor control, requiring advanced materials and manufacturing processes.

Geographic Manufacturing Shifts

The concentration of semiconductor manufacturing in specific geographic regions has created supply chain risks. Governments and companies are investing in regional semiconductor manufacturing capacity to reduce dependence on single sources and improve supply chain resilience.

New semiconductor fabrication facilities are being planned and constructed in multiple regions, representing investments totaling hundreds of billions of dollars. These facilities will take several years to become operational but will fundamentally reshape the global semiconductor manufacturing landscape.

Future Outlook

The relationship between automakers and semiconductor suppliers will continue to evolve, with deeper integration and collaboration. As vehicles become more software-defined and connected, the importance of semiconductors will only increase, making supply chain management a critical competitive advantage.

The industry is moving toward more resilient, diversified supply chains with multiple sourcing strategies and strategic partnerships. This evolution will require new business models, investment strategies, and operational approaches from both automakers and semiconductor suppliers.

Conclusion

Semiconductors have become the foundation of modern automotive technology, with their importance continuing to grow as vehicles become more electrified, connected, and autonomous. The industry's response to supply chain disruptions is creating new business models and partnerships that will shape the automotive landscape for decades to come.